BCG Weather Report—October 1, 2021

Nice Weekend on Tap for Week 5 Big Central Conference Contests

SOUTH PLAINFIELD, NJ—A great weekend is on tap here in Central Jersey for the Week 5 games scheduled in the Big Central Conference.  The month of September 2021 with its 10.26 inches of rain at Greg’s Weather Center in South Plainfield, NJ.  The month of October begins with a chilly feel in the air.

The morning low at GWC was only 44 degrees, the coldest temperature so far this season.  The mercury has since climbed back up to 63 degrees.  According to Accu-Weather, the forecast high is expected to reach 69 degrees.  By game time of the key BCC Division 1A showdown between New Providence and David Brearley, the temperature is expected to be 63 degrees under some clouds with the sun setting at 6:40 PM.

On Saturday, the morning low is forecasted to be down to 47 degrees at GWC in South Plainfield.  With high pressure moderating, and pushing further east, a more southerly flow will develop during the afternoon with the high temperature reaching 77 degrees by late afternoon.  Meanwhile, skies will be sunny and the temperature will be at 73 degrees at Denny Stadium in South River for the BCC Division 2B clash between the hometown Rams and St. Thomas Aquinas.

After Saturday’s high of 77 degrees, temperatures will continue to climb to 81 degrees under partly sunny skies on Sunday afternoon.  With the warming temperatures this weekend, it will be tempting to head out to the beach at the Jersey Shore.  However, all will not be right.  There will be dangerous surf and rip currents along the coast thanks to swells generated by Hurricane Sam in the Atlantic.

Sam is currently located some 325 miles to the Southeast of Bermuda in the Western Atlantic.  It is a powerful Category 4 Hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale with maximum sustained winds of 150 mph and gusts as high as 185 mph.  Minimum central pressure in the eye of the storm is down to 936 millibars, or 27.64 inches of Hg (Mercury).  Hurricane Sam is presently moving rapidly to the North at 24 mph.

The storm is expected to stay to the east of Bermuda and the East Coast of the United States as it turns more to the Northeast over the next day or two.  Nevertheless, it is generating waves as high as 50 feet in the Atlantic, and those waves are propagating toward the Eastern Seaboard, and will be generating dangerous surf.  So, if you do plan to head out to the shore this weekend, stay out of the water.

Speaking of Sam, the peak of the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season is waning, but the season continues until November 30th, and there is a secondary seasonal peak that usually occurs around the middle of October.  Remember, Sandy was a hurricane that formed in the middle of October 2012 before coming up the east coast, and slamming into the Jersey Shore in Cape May County just south of Atlantic City on October 29th that year.

Looking back on the month of September, there was 10.26 inches of rain at GWC in South Plainfield.  Not your typical September here in New Jersey, but keep in mind that 7.38 inches, including 7.22 inches over a 7.5 hour stretch, occurred on September 1st, which represented approximately 72 percent of the month’s total rainfall.  Otherwise, it was, for the most part, a fairly dry month.  

Taking a look at the month ahead, temperatures are expected to be above average in the Northeast thanks to an upper level ridge in the Upper Midwest portion of the country according to The Weather Channel.  Precipitation wise, the Accu-Weather forecast is calling for some periods of rain and stronger thunderstorms in the early part of the month.  According to an article on, the Climate Prediction Center indicates near normal rainfall for much of the state except for Southern Jersey, where rainfall is projected to be down by at least one third.

Steve DiMartino of NY NJ PA Weather indicates that there will be periods of volatility during the course of the month, but things should end up about normal.  Meanwhile, Jim Sullivan of Weather Works predicts that precipitation will be much drier during October.  So, it looks like a great month ahead weather wise for football.  Let’s hope the predictions become reality.